Harry Crane: Polls, Markets, Georgia, Cahaly & Silver (#33)

Harry Crane: Polls, Markets, Georgia, Cahaly & Silver (#33)

The Prediction Trade

54 года назад

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Rutgers University’s Harry Crane discusses his new research comparing the accuracy of polling models with the prediction markets following the November election, giving FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver another reason to troll tweet.

Also, Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly tips off TPT to some potentially market-moving poll results he is about to release about the upcoming Georgia Senate races.



Follow Harry Crane on Twitter @HarryDCrane, visit Researchers.One for his Models vs. Markets white paper and check out his website at harrycrane.com.


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